Business Faculty Publications

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

1-31-2017

Publication Title

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Mechanics

Keywords

Downside risk, Wavelet decomposition, Multi-scale hedge ratio

Disciplines

Business | Finance and Financial Management

Abstract

This paper considers a multi-scale future hedge strategy that minimizes lower partial moments (LPM). To do this, wavelet analysis is adopted to decompose time series data
into different components. Next, different parametric estimation methods with known distributions are applied to calculate the LPM of hedged portfolios, which is the key to
determining multi-scale hedge ratios over different time scales. Then these parametric methods are compared with the prevailing nonparametric kernel metric method. Empirical results indicate that in the China Securities Index 300 (CSI 300) index futures and spot markets, hedge ratios and hedge efficiency estimated by the nonparametric kernel metric method are inferior to those estimated by parametric hedging model based on the features
of sequence distributions. In addition, if minimum-LPM is selected as a hedge target, the hedging periods, degree of risk aversion, and target returns can affect the multi-scale hedge ratios and hedge efficiency, respectively.

DOI

10.1016/j.physa.2016.09.056

Version

Postprint

Volume

466

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